Resilience check
- Project team:
Michaela Evers-Wölk, Roland Nolte, Ingo Kollosche, Nona Bledow, Maren Eickhoff, Carolin Kahlisch, André Uhl
(with further support in each case related to the technical infrastructure of the system)
- Thematic area:
- Startdate:
2024
- Enddate:
2028
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Background and objectives
Based on the results of the Resilience radar, which are published in the Foresight Report, an infrastructure-related focus topic is selected each year and subjected to a resilience check in the in-depth phase of the extended foresight process. The aim of the Resilience Check is to develop viable resilience strategies for the infrastructure system. The topic of this year's Resilience Check is: water management in agriculture.
Approach and results
Stakeholders from science, business, politics, administration and civil society are involved in a structured analysis and scenario process. The Resilience check takes nine months to complete and consists of the following three steps
1. Mapping the system
The first step is to identify and structure the relevant influencing factors for the key issues of the infrastructure system. For this purpose, moderated digital "round tables" are organised with external experts from science, business, politics and administration. The result is a dynamic system picture in visualised form.
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2. Scenario development
The next step is to develop plausible future scenarios and identify vulnerabilities that arise against the backdrop of systemic risks. To this end, future projections are developed on the basis of the identified key factors and raw scenarios are derived. The consequences of disruptive events are then analysed in an expert workshop. The step concludes with a short description of the future scenarios.
3. Policy analysis
The future scenarios are then systematically analysed to identify both vulnerabilities and opportunities to strengthen the resilience of the infrastructure system. In a structured process, policy options, approaches and strategy elements are developed. For this purpose, a moderated event will be organised, which will bring together scientists, experts from the respective maintenance practice of the infrastructure system and selected representatives of the infrastructure system.
Annual event at the German Bundestag
The results of the resilience check will be discussed with members of the Bundestag and civil society at a public event in the Bundestag and summarised in a Resilienz-Dossier.
Resilience Check 2024
This year's Resilience Check focuses on water management in agriculture. In the face of climate change, increasing drought and uneven rainfall distribution in Germany, agriculture must find new ways to cope with changing conditions. Efficient irrigation techniques, new forms of farming and closed-loop production systems offer promising approaches to making better use of water resources and making agriculture more resilient. As part of the public event "TA im Dialog: Zukunftsfähiges Wassermanagement in der Landwirtschaft" on 27 November 2024 in the Paul-Löbe-Haus, the interim results of the Resilience Check 2024 will be presented and discussed with experts from the scientific community, members of the German Bundestag and other societal stakeholders. |
Public debate in the Bundestag on 27 November 2024
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